Can you really turn $10 into $1M with cryptocurrency? Here's a detailed analysis, with all the numbers, the reality, and what a more realistic expectation will be for the next bullrun.

It's really a question of probabilities. And with just $10, you need some incredible luck, and really beat too many odds. Maybe not quiet lottery level luck, but close.

Even if you could have technically made 20x in the last bull run with just Bitcoin, it's very unlikely that too many people actually got that.

You would have had to have gone all in at $3,200, when almost everyone thought it was heading for $2K, and maybe lower.

Then sold exactly before it hit ATH at around $69,000. When many people said it would pass $100K.

Going with an alt would have given you better upside, but with more risk.

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A look at the numbers and the historic trend:

Roughly the maximized BTC gains from the bottom of the bear market to the peak of each bullrun:

2013 406x.

2017 109x.

2021 21x

2025 ?

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https://preview.redd.it/xsyodl7jbxcb1.jpg?980&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=12b86d019b4d822e9543b408e99b3d16fac78c6b

As you can see, the intensity of the price gains is tapering down.

I wouldn't be surprised if in the next bull run, Bitcoin only rallies 6-8x from its $15K bottom.

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Coins performance of high cap coins in the last bull market, from bear market bottom to ATH:

BTC 21x

ETH 42x

BNB 140x

ADA 105x

LTC 127x

etc...

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Here's what you can realistically make...if you play your cards right.

I'm gonna take a much more realistic example of someone averaging into Bitcoin at $12K in the last bull run, which was actually not an easy task, but a more realistic scenario.

Then averaging out of Bitcoin at $48K. That would also require some luck and discipline, when so many people were calling for $100K.

That would be about 4x.

That's despite the fact that Bitcoin went a little over 21x from the bottom to ATH.

What would you have needed to get $1M? You would have needed $250,000.

If you have more tamed goals of $100K, that would still have required $25K to start with.

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Here's a semi-realistic scenario, involving more luck with an alt.

Since it's already hard to safely get a lot more than 4x when Bitcoin rallies 21x, it's gonna be even harder if Bitcoin rallies a lot less, and potentially only about 6-8x.

We've seen how alt coins can give over 100x in past bull markets.

As I've shown above, it's expected that each market will be less intense. So I'm gonna use an example of an alt coin doing only roughly 50x.

In a lucky but somewhat realistic scenario, let's say an alt coin does a 50x from bear market bottom to new ATH. You could be looking at 8-10x. A little over double what you averaged in my Bitcoin scenario.

That would have still required up to $125,000 investment to make a million.

Or around $12K to get $100K out of it.

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What do you need to do to get the bigger gains, and closer to that life changing money?

Apart from obviously a bit of luck, discipline, removing your emotions out of the equations, switch on your brain, and not fall for narratives, there's two main avenues:

There's the high risk avenue. But then you increase your chances of coming out empty handed, and of more likely losing money.

The one people forget is that you can stay for more than 1 cycle.

You don't have to bet everything on one bull cycle.

You can use the upcoming bull cycle to build up a stronger base to propel yourself from in the 2028 cycle.

You may not have enough this cycle to realistically come close to any life changing money, but you could more safely build yourself up so you have a better start if there is a 2028 bull run.

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