Do you believe the four year cycle will play out in 2024-25?

The four year cycle theory states that the BTC price peaks every four years followed by a long bear market. Most proponents of this theory posit that the price is driven by the halving which happens about every four years. Thus according to this theory the price tops at the end of the year after the halving. They point out that the previous cycle peaks happened at the end of 2021, 2017 and 2013. Each of those was the year after the halving. Thus the next peak will be EOY 2025.

Do you think this theory will play our again? Or do you think it will be something else e.g. a longer bear market, a longer bull cycle, a faster cycle or side ways? Do you think the regular cycles are over and we are going to see the price move like the stock market or something similar?

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