I've noticed a lot more flippening talk lately. Here is the latest update analyzing the data from the EthFlippening dapp (www.ethflippening.com) and what it reveals about community sentiment about the flippening.
Because tokens increase in price as more are minted for a particular month, this dapp should provide a stronger commitment signal than random internet polls or other methods.
We've passed through a period of super high gas fees without many tokens being minted. Consequently, this also shows that ETH community was way too optimistic about merge/flippening timelines.
Average Predicted Month: End of Feb 2022.
Average w/o already Past: Nov 2022
Most Commonly Predicted Month(s): Dec 2021 and Feb 2022.
Most Bullish Left: Mar 2022
Least Bullish: Jan 2023.
Eth vs btc (Percent predicting flippening within 4 years vs no flippening in 4 years, ie btc wins game ): 93%/7%.
Cheapest Tokens That Can be Minted: 0.01 ETH (30 months)
Most Expensive Tokens That Can be Minted: 0.025 ETH (Feb 2022)
Gitcoin Matching Donations: 0.019 ETH ($57)
Too Optimistic Tokens (Flippening predictions for months that have already passed) : 16
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