I analyzed Ben Cowen's predictions and made a spreadsheet + video about it

TL;DR: A detailed analysis of Benjamin Cowen's crypto predictions in 2023 reveals a surprisingly poor track record. Out of 17 predictions analyzed, 15 were wrong, 1 was partially correct, and only 1 was fully accurate. Link to the video is here.

I don't want to waste anyone's time (+ ADHD here) so I'll get right into it.

METHODOLOGY

I made a spreadsheet (available here) where I kept track of Ben's exact statements and predictions regarding Bitcoin (price and dominance), Ethereum, and altcoins. The idea behind it wasn't to publish this or make a video about it - it was to use it for my own sanity, because I felt many of his predictions fell short, but could never point my finger as to why. I focused on predictions made in 2023 for fair evaluation, since some need months/years to play out. Then, I methodically checked each prediction against actual market performance and noted if it panned out or not. I made a video about it because, honestly, it's easier and faster to follow than clicking on each link in the spreadsheet. I'm not a youtuber, I don't need your subs, and this is the only video I'll ever publish. I just want to inform you.

CONCLUSIONS

Out of 17 statements that I followed up on, 15 ended up not panning out. 1 was partially correct, and another one was fully correct. Ben's predictions missed on the timing component, the value component, or both (in most cases). I won't go into specific statements - you have either the spreadsheet or the video to take a look at.

TAKEAWAY

In the end, this isn't about Ben at all. It's about EVERY YouTube and X crypto personality you follow. Here's the critical advice:

• Document EXACT statements - when an influencer makes a prediction, write down the EXACT words, including specific price targets, time frames, and conditions.

• Beware of narrative shifting - many influencers have a habit of slowly tweaking their narrative. They'll subtly modify their original statement over time so that when something eventually happens, they can claim they "predicted" it.

• Time and value matter - a prediction isn't just about being right eventually. The specific time frame and exact value are crucial. If someone predicts Bitcoin will hit $100k "sometime in the future", that's not a real prediction.

Start a spreadsheet. Track the precise claims. Compare them to actual market performance. You'll be shocked how often "expert" predictions fall apart under scrutiny.

Bottom Line: Do your own research. Be critical. Don't worship any single crypto influencer, no matter how popular they are.