Odds of guessing a Seed Phrase vs Odds of winning $1.73B Lottery

The Powerball, which is a multi-state lottery in the United States has now grown to $1.73B and is amongst the top lotteries in the world currently.

The odds to win the jackpot are 1 in 292,201,338 (292 million 201 thousand 338) The overall odds of winning any powerball prize are about 1 in 25

Now, to calculate the odds of guessing an existing wallet we’ll look at the current total wallets and the total possible wallets. We’ll look at Ethereum for these calculations.

Total ETH wallets: 246,860,000 Possible ETH wallets: 1,461,501,637,330,902,918,203,684,832,716,283,019,655,932,542,976

So the odds of finding an existing wallet is approximately 1 in 5,920,363,770,735,015,415,413,993,718,908,291,383,296 (5 duodecillion 920 undecillion 363 decillion 770 nonillion 735 octillion 15 septillion 415 sextillion 413 quintillion 993 quadrillion 718 trillion 908 billion 291 million 383 thousand 296)

You’ll have to win the Powerball Jackpot almost 10 times CONSECUTIVELY to be that lucky!

Fun Fact:

Even if you end up guessing the seed phrase to an existing wallet, there’s a very good chance it will be filled some airdropped shitcoins only!