Hey all, this is a follow-up post from about 3 weeks ago on WenBullRun, a one-stop dashboard for degen market research.

I've recently had the time to write a short guide on how you can best use the WenBullRun dashboard to get the pulse of the crypto markets in ten to twenty seconds (see original article published on my substack here).

Hope this guide will be useful to some:

WenBullRun is designed for busy (or lazy) working professionals who find it challenging to stay on top of fast-moving crypto markets amid their demanding nine-to-five grind.

By spending just about ten to twenty seconds a day, you can quickly gauge the overall market trend using our set of key indicators displayed in a dashboard style.

However, please note that WenBullRun is not intended to replace your own thorough research into individual projects and blockchains.

Instead, it should serve as a helpful complement to your existing efforts.

Ultimately, informed decision-making requires diligent study on your part. Consider this tool as a starting point for each day — a concise snapshot of the current state of the crypto landscape.

https://preview.redd.it/4brkksu4c16e1.png?1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=7aa76748cb154d57c828a063e4af4e01056b3ab7

Key Indicators

Below are the primary indicators WenBullRun tracks. Each one provides a different perspective on market conditions, and together, they can help you better understand the broader trends at play.

• Price Action (BTC/ETH/SOL) We provide current prices and historical comparisons over 7-day, 30-day, and 90-day periods. Observing how these leading assets move over various time frames can help you understand whether the market is in an uptrend, downtrend, or moving sideways.
• Market Dominance (BTC/USDT/ETH/SOL) Market dominance measures the relative share of total market capitalization held by specific assets. Shifts in dominance can reveal changing investor preferences—for example, if Bitcoin’s dominance decreases, it may suggest growing interest in alternative assets.
• Fear & Greed Index This index is a compilation of seven different indicators that measure some aspect of stock market behaviour. A value of 100 represents maximum greediness, and a value of 0 signals maximum fear. You can gauge whether the market is leaning toward optimism or caution by comparing current sentiment to historical highs, lows, and averages (7, 30, and 90 days).
• Quarterly Crypto Venture Capital (VC) Data Tracking the volume and number of VC deals each quarter provides insights into the level of institutional and corporate interest in crypto. Periods with increased funding may indicate renewed confidence, while declining figures could suggest a more conservative environment.
• Google Trends Data Monitoring worldwide search interest in terms like “Bitcoin”, “Ethereum”, “Solana”, “crypto”, and “web3” over the past five years helps identify shifts in broader public attention. An increase in search activity may coincide with rising interest from new market participants, while subdued activity might indicate a lack of general enthusiasm.
• Coinbase App Ranking Tracking the Coinbase app’s position in major app store rankings offers a proxy for retail engagement. Historically, surges in ranking have aligned with heightened public interest and sometimes market peaks. By keeping an eye on this metric, you can gain insights into when retail participation may be reaching critical levels or, conversely, when they may be starting to lose steam.

How to Interpret Google Trends Data

Google Trends normalizes search interest to a scale where each term’s highest point over the selected timeframe (e.g. five years) is set to 100, and all other values represent relative interest compared to that peak.

This means a score of 50 indicates the term’s popularity was half of its maximum level, not that the search volume halved.

Keep in mind that these figures reflect relative rather than absolute volumes and vary based on the time period and region selected.

https://preview.redd.it/0t785vb6c16e1.png?1456&format=png&auto=webp&s=297833b709bf54a21c0e3f759d7b312527d66435

• A value of 100 indicates the highest level of interest for the term during the past five years.
• A value of 75 means that the term’s popularity is three-quarters of its peak value.
• A value of 50 means that the term’s popularity is half of its peak value.
• A value of 25 means that the term’s popularity is one-quarter of its peak value

It’s important to note that these values are specific to each individual search term. For example, a value of 70 for “Bitcoin” is not directly comparable to a value of 50 for “Ethereum,” because each is measured against its own historical peak.

What you can do is observe the general trend within each individual search term or observe and compare the general trend across different search terms to see if the general interest in crypto is rising or decreasing.

If several key terms all show increasing values over the past 30, 90, and 180 days, this may indicate growing mainstream awareness or participation.

General Interpretation of Key Indicators

No single indicator can fully explain market behaviour. Instead, consider how these metrics interact to form a coherent picture.

For instance, if price trends appear positive while the Fear & Greed Index shows increasing optimism, and the Coinbase app is climbing in the rankings, the market may be nearing a period of heightened speculative activity.

Conversely, flat or declining prices combined with reduced search interest and stablecoin dominance might suggest a more cautious environment.

In practice, use these indicators as a guide—a way to quickly assess where the market may be heading.

While WenBullRun simplifies and streamlines your initial market check-in, remember that making thorough investment decisions still calls for more detailed research.

These indicators serve as a helpful starting point when you need a quick check on the market’s pulse, not a definitive answer.

Key Reminder:
Use WenBullRun to streamline your research, not replace it — insight demands effort

That said, there are some general heuristics for when we are moving to a bull run or bear market:

General Signs of a Coming Bull Run

Look for a combination of these signals appearing together:

• Increasing Greed on the Fear & Greed Index (Trending above 65): As the Fear & Greed Index starts to lean more towards Greed, it may indicate that investors are ready to take on more risk by entering the market. This psychological shift often precedes increased market activity and investment.
• Rising Bitcoin Price and Decreasing Bitcoin Dominance: Widely regarded as a store of value and a benchmark asset in crypto, an increase in Bitcoin's price coupled with declining dominance often reflects rising demand for Bitcoin while also signalling that investors are reallocating capital into altcoins to chase higher yields, indicating broader market confidence.
• Decreasing Tether Dominance: A reduction in funds parked in stablecoins represents growing investor confidence. It demonstrates that traders are moving away from conservative, low-yield assets and becoming more willing to deploy capital into higher-risk, potentially higher-reward crypto investments.
• Increasing Social Trend: Heightened search interest in crypto-related terms and increased Coinbase app installs on the App Store are leading indicators of broader market engagement. These metrics reflect growing retail investor awareness and anticipation of potential price movements.

When these conditions align, it often indicates that the market may be transitioning into a bullish phase.

In such environments, altcoins frequently benefit as capital flows out from Bitcoin and stablecoins, seeking higher returns in other projects.

Take Profits Gradually through Dollar-Cost Averaging

As the market shows signs of a bull run with the above signals, it's a good time to start DCA-ing out profits from crypto that you have accumulated during the bear market.

By systematically taking profits as prices rise, you lock in gains without attempting to time the market perfectly. This disciplined approach reduces emotional decision-making and ensures you benefit from market euphoria before a potential downturn.

If you haven’t invested much during the previous periods, you can still ride the momentum of the bull run while learning to accumulate and sell strategically for the next cycle.

Key Reminder:
Profits are made in buying, and not selling.

Signs of a Coming Bear Run

On the other hand, here are some warning signals that could signal a potential market downturn and an incoming bearish phase:

• Increasing Fear on the Fear & Greed Index (Trending below 50): As the index shifts towards fear, it reflects growing investor pessimism and uncertainty. This psychological state often triggers a collective move towards more conservative investment strategies, with participants seeking to minimize potential losses.
• Stagnating or Increasing BTC Dominance: An increase or prolonged plateau in Bitcoin dominance typically signals that investors are retreating from riskier altcoins. This flight to Bitcoin's relative stability suggests a broader market defensive strategy, with participants prioritizing capital preservation over speculative gains.
• Stagnating or Increasing Tether Dominance: Growing capital allocation to stablecoins indicates a pronounced risk-averse environment. Traders are effectively moving to the sidelines, preserving capital and awaiting clearer market conditions or potential buying opportunities during market corrections.
• Decreasing Socials Trend: A decline in crypto-related search terms, app installs, and overall digital engagement serves as a leading indicator of waning market enthusiasm. This reduced public interest suggests diminishing retail investor participation and reduced market momentum in general.

These indicators collectively point toward a risk-off market environment. During such periods, altcoins are particularly vulnerable, often experiencing more significant price swings and value erosion as traders reallocate to more stable assets.

Accumulate Gradually as the Market Bottoms in Fear

During bear markets, as signalled by the indicators above, and especially when fear reaches its peak, and there is widespread hopelessness and lots of red in the markets... this is often the ideal opportunity to begin DCA-ing and accumulating your favourite crypto assets with strong fundamentals.

And while it’s nearly impossible to time the absolute bottom of the market, you can use a declining Fear & Greed Index (e.g. trending below 55) as a rough guide to identify potential entry points to start accumulating.

By spreading your purchases across the downturn, you mitigate the risk of catching falling knives and position yourself to benefit from eventual recoveries over the medium to long term.

Caveat: This is a long-term strategy that requires patience and discipline. Markets may take months or even years to recover, so it’s crucial to maintain a long-term outlook and avoid reacting emotionally to short-term volatility.

Key Reminder:
The time to buy is when there is blood in the streets, even if it’s your own.

Bitcoin Dominance Cycle Chart

Here’s a summary of some common Bitcoin dominance trends and patterns in the chart below.

Do keep in mind that crypto markets are highly volatile, and while these patterns can provide some insights, outcomes may vary.

Always exercise caution and consider multiple factors when analyzing market trends.

https://preview.redd.it/ieja4h54d16e1.png?1500&format=png&auto=webp&s=ea81022574e3ec36efc767545f06a2659719a048

Limitations of These Indicators

While the indicators and signals provided by WenBullRun can offer valuable insights into prevailing market conditions, it is essential to understand their inherent limitations.

These metrics are trend-based tools that assume relatively stable market environments. Under normal circumstances, they help you form a general view of the market’s direction, but they are not predictive models that guarantee future outcomes.

In particular, these indicators cannot account for unforeseen “black swan” events—rare and unpredictable occurrences that can dramatically alter market dynamics.

Examples might include major geopolitical conflicts, significant political events such as another assassination of Donald Trump, large-scale natural disasters, sudden regulatory crackdowns on crypto, or, conversely, transformative developments like countries adopting Bitcoin as a reserve asset.

Such events can lead to abrupt shifts in market sentiment, liquidity, and prices, rendering previously reliable indicators less meaningful in the short term. Indicators may swing dramatically between extremes, and well-established patterns could temporarily break down, creating a climate of heightened volatility and uncertainty.

As a result, it is crucial to treat these tools as just one part of your decision-making process.

Always complement indicator-based insights with your own research, careful judgment, and an awareness that markets can and do surprise even the most informed observers.

Conclusion

WenBullRun provides a quick overview of key market indicators to help you gauge overall crypto market sentiment and trends within just ten to twenty seconds.

While this tool can streamline your initial market check-in, it’s important to remember that the indicators presented here are only one part of a larger puzzle.

Use them as a starting point to understand where things might be heading, but always supplement with deeper research, monitoring current events, and assessing fundamental project developments.

Market dynamics are influenced by a wide range of factors, and no single tool or indicator can fully capture every nuance—particularly during periods of sudden, unexpected change.

By recognizing both the value and the limitations of these indicators, you can better integrate them into a comprehensive approach to navigating the crypto landscape.

Ultimately, WenBullRun aims to assist, not replace, the thoughtful work you put into making informed crypto investment decisions.