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$1k into the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2019 (JAN Update/Month 61) +320%

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$1k into the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2019 (JAN Update/Month 61) +320%

EXPERIMENT - Tracking 2019 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Sixty-One - Up +320%

The full blog post with all the tables is here.

Welcome! This is the latest report for my homemade 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund. This group contains BTC, XRP, ETH, BCH, EOS, XLM, USDT, LTC, BSV, and Tron.

tl;dr:

  • What's this all about? I purchased $100 of each of Top 10 Cryptos in Jan. 2018, no selling or trading, reporting monthly for over 5 years. Did the same in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, and 2023 Learn more about the history, rules, and FAQs of the Experiments (including the answer to the "WHY TETHER?!?!" question) here.
  • Month 61 update (since Jan. 2019): ETH in the overall lead by a longshot, followed by BTC then Tron
  • 2019 Top Ten Portfolio up +320%, 70% of coins in the green. Total Crypto market +1,087% over same time period.
  • 2018+2019+2020+2021+2022+2023+2024 Combined Top Ten Portfolios are returning +118% compared to +44% with S&P500 if invested similarly.

Month Sixty-One – UP 320%

https://preview.redd.it/kmxgnrn2hxkc1.png?1087&format=png&auto=webp&s=267fc6693aa4b85ad07d765e3c3caec58d8b20cb

The 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund consists of: BTC, XRP, ETH, BCH, EOS, Stellar, USDT, Litecoin, BSV, and Tron.

January highlights for the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio:

  • Only Tron finishes the month in positive territory, BSV takes a massive tumble.
  • Ethereum maintains a strong overall lead since January 2019. Second place is Bitcoin followed by third place Tron.

January Ranking and Dropout Report

https://preview.redd.it/w06lgzw3hxkc1.png?328&format=png&auto=webp&s=862ca3b0264ec3d8f2d4b8a06f62402dc6017687

Top Ten dropouts since January 2019: After sixty-one months, 60% of the cryptos that started in the Top Ten in January 2019 have been knocked outa.

EOS has fallen the furthest in rank so far (#81).

January Winners and Losers

January WinnersTron’s +4% was enough to give it the monthly victory.

January LosersBSV fell a massive -35% in January, making it the worst performer of the month. EOS lost -24% of its value as well.

Overall Update: ETH far ahead of the pack, 70% of cryptos in positive territory, EOS at the bottom

ETH (+1,541% since Jan. 2019) continues to be the best performer of this group, by far. In distant second place is BTC (+1,012%) followed by third place Tron (+474%).

The $100 investment into first place ETH on January 1st, 2019 is currently worth $1,684.

After sixty-one months, 70% of the cryptos in the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio are in positive territory. The worst performer is EOS (-74%).

Total Market Cap for the Entire Cryptocurrency Sector:

https://preview.redd.it/lp89dp75hxkc1.png?1184&format=png&auto=webp&s=d55d5958c8fdbe789a53cb73d4167996ba3d1d32

There was no easy way to do so at the time, but if you were able to capture the entire cryptocurrency market since January 2019, you would be up +1087%

This is still behind first place ETH (+1,541%) but much better than the rest of the Top Ten cryptos, including second place Bitcoin (+1,012%).

The total market is performing much better than the Top Ten approach (+320%) as well.

Crypto Market Cap Low Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: $114B in January 2019.

Crypto Market Cap High Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: $2.65T in October 2021.

Bitcoin Dominance:

https://preview.redd.it/53f8w9n6hxkc1.png?1150&format=png&auto=webp&s=dd75bf614891491adb302a5a08e927edde2aae35

BitDom ended the month at 54.5%.

For context, here are the high and low points of BTC domination over the life of the 2019 Experiment:

Low Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: 38.1% in November 2022.

High Point in the 2019 Top Ten Crypto Index Experiment: 70.5% in August 2019.

Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2019:

https://preview.redd.it/qdkromp7hxkc1.png?337&format=png&auto=webp&s=57af3964ad7ea2d9e4d28547555fb0ea2e3303c7

After sixty-one months, the value of the initial $1000 investment is $4,202, up +320%. This is down from November 2021’s all time high of +665% for the 2019 Portfolio.

Although the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio is up +320%, it is not the best performing of the seven Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiment Portfolios: it is still a distant second place behind the 2020 Top Ten Portfolio which is up +426% at the moment.

Combining the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 Top Ten Crypto Portfolios

Speaking of other Top Ten Portfolios, let’s put all seven together now:

  • 2018 Top Ten Experiment: down -19% (total value $812)
  • 2019 Top Ten Experiment: up +320% (total value $4,202)
  • 2020 Top Ten Experiment: up +426% (total value $5,257) (best performing portfolio)
  • 2021 Top Ten Experiment: up +112% (total value $2,120)
  • 2022 Top Ten Experiment: down -59% (total value $413) (worst performing portfolio)
  • 2023 Top Ten Experiment: up +47% (total value $1,471)
  • 2024 Top Ten Experiment: down -14% (total value $951)

So overall? Taking the seven portfolios together:

After a $7,000 total investment in the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $15,226.

That’s up +118% on the combined portfolios. The peak for the combined Top Ten Index Fund Experiment Portfolios was November 2021’s all time high of +533%.

Here’s the combined monthly ROI since I started tracking the metric in January 2020:

https://preview.redd.it/qdod1369hxkc1.png?1098&format=png&auto=webp&s=b6118db98410d249d658cde87fb6fbf08d3e5e09

In summary: That’s a +118% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for seven straight years.

Comparison to S&P 500:

I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of the experiments to have a comparison point with traditional markets.

https://preview.redd.it/jh8zm0cbhxkc1.png?1092&format=png&auto=webp&s=c6b57f99a0f6931a9959a035fd2b059e1531a3a3

Because the S&P 500 Index is up 96% since January 2019, the initial $1k investment I put into crypto sixty-one months ago would be worth $1,960 had it been redirected to the S&P 500 in January 2019.

But what if I took the same world’s-slowest-dollar-cost-averaging $1,000-per-year-on-January-1st-Crypto-Index-Fund-Experiment approach with the S&P 500? It would yield the following:

  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2018 = $1,840 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2019 = $1,960 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2020 = $1,520 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2021 = $1,310 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2022 = $1,030 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2023 = $1,280 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2024 = $1,110 today

Taken together, the results for a similar approach with the S&P:

After seven $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 my portfolio would be worth $10,050.

That is up +44% since January 2018 compared to a +118% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.

Here’s a table providing an overview of the seven year ROI comparison between a Top Ten Crypto approach and the S&P:

https://preview.redd.it/d2rvbrichxkc1.png?1256&format=png&auto=webp&s=6533a4664deac17cc5dab00b02ae9635a764d138

Conclusion:

To both old-timers and newcomers: thanks so much for taking the time to read and for supporting the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments. I hope you find the updates helpful in terms of perspective as you navigate the crypto landscape. Be careful out there and don’t put your mental, physical, or financial health at risk chasing gainz. If crypto is causing you to lose sleep at night, chances are you have too much in crypto: try to think long term and don’t invest what you truly can’t afford to lose.

Feel free to reach out with any questions and stay tuned for the latest progress reports. A reporting note: I’ll focus on 2024 Top Ten Portfolio reports + one other portfolio on a rotating basis this year, so expect two reports per month. January’s extended report is the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio (the one you’re reading now). You can check out the latest 2018 Top Ten, 2020 Top Ten, 2021 Top Ten, 2022 Top Ten, and 2023 Top Ten reports as well.

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