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I bought $1k of the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2024 (JULY Update/Month 7/+10%)

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I bought $1k of the Top 10 Cryptos on January 1st, 2024 (JULY Update/Month 7/+10%)

EXPERIMENT - Tracking 2024 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies – Month Seven - Up +10%

Find the full blog post with all the tables and graphs here.

The 2024 Top Ten Experiment features BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB, SOL, XRP, ADA, AVAX, DOGE, and DOT.

SNAPSHOTS ALWAYS TAKEN ON FIRST OF THE MONTH (data below reflects 1 JULY Snapshot).

tl;dr

  • What's this all about? I purchased $100 of each of Top 10 Cryptos in Jan. 2018, haven't sold or traded, reporting monthly for over 6.5 years on Reddit for your reading pleasure. Did the same in 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024. Learn more about the history and rules of the Experiments (including why I would include stablecoins) here. Learn more about the features in the 2024 Top Ten Experiment here.
  • JULY Highlights: A mixed month. XRP (+22%) easily won July.
  • YTD, BNB still well in the lead, followed by SOL, followed by BTC. Last place YTD is AVAX.
  • The 2024 Top Ten portfolio has fallen behind the S&P500 +10% to +14%, but DCA'ing once a year into Top Ten Cryptos for the last 7 years --> Top Ten +209% vs S&P500's +58%.
  • The friendly competition between Top Ten Portfolio and total market cap token AMKT update: The Alongside Crypto Market Index Token (AMKT) is tripling ROI YTD +31% vs. my Top Ten's +10%.

Month Seven – Up +10%

https://preview.redd.it/31y144nremjd1.png?1090&format=png&auto=webp&s=8a647b6e32d6a37fffde65bde4d1af61fd89df6e

The 2024 Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Portfolio is BTC, ETH, USDT, BNB, SOL, XRP, ADA, AVAX, DOGE, DOT.

July highlights for the 2024 Top Ten Portfolio:

  • A mixed bag this month with the overall portfolio down a bit
  • XRP (+22%) easily outperforms its Top Ten peers in July, BNB still leads YTD
  • The S&P 500 is +14% YTD, pulling ahead of the 2024 Top Ten Crypto Portfolio (although the seven combined crypto portfolios are outperforming the S&P significantly)

July Ranking and Dropouts

Here’s a look at the movement in the ranks seven months into the 2024 Top Ten Index Fund Experiment:

https://preview.redd.it/j8338mjtemjd1.png?406&format=png&auto=webp&s=8d336a6db233cfd6f0dadcfbe55c70d864058660

Not a lot of surprises so far in 2024, with only DOT and AVAX dropping out of the Top Ten.

July Winners and Losers

July WinnersXRP easily wins the month, up +22%. SOL (+12%) in second place in July.

July LosersDOT (-17%) fell the most this month, followed closely by AVAX (-16%). This was AVAX’s second rough month in a row.

Overall Update: BNB securely in first place, SOL in second. 60% of cryptos in positive territory. ADA, AVAX, and DOT in virtual tie for last place.

60% of the Top Ten are in positive territory so far this year, down from 90% in the green in March.

BNB (+79%) remains in the overall lead followed distantly by second place SOL (+47%). BTC (+43%) is third.

Seven months into the 2024 Experiment ADA, AVAX, and DOT are in a virtual tie for last place, each down approximately -40%.

The initial $100 invested in first place BNB seven months ago is worth $179 today.

Overall return on $1,000 investment since January 1st, 2024

https://preview.redd.it/29730jtzemjd1.png?328&format=png&auto=webp&s=cdf33493640f85c654a9edc78b15b51db8d6cd52

The 2024 Top Ten Portfolio lost $13 in July. The initial $1000 investment on New Year’s Day 2024 is now worth $1,102.

Here’s a visual summary of the progress so far:

https://preview.redd.it/ezgb5dl0fmjd1.png?190&format=png&auto=webp&s=302144c82ff425fe680a2a0e78b5a5d54ddb41e0

2024 Top Ten Portfolio vs. The Alongside Crypto Market Index Token (AMKT)

The first Top Ten Crypto Experiment was started on 1 January 2018 in an attempt to capture the gains of the entire market, similar to the “lazy” approach of the Bogleheads in traditional markets. Much has changed over the last 6.5 years, including the introduction of index products designed to capture the entire crypto market (instead of manually buying coins and tokens like I do for my Experiments).

Like last year, I’m running a friendly competition between The 2024 Top Ten Portfolio and The Alongside Crypto Market Index Token (AMKT). AMKT is an ERC-20 token that represents a cap weighted index of 15 Cryptocurrencies (minus stablecoins) backed 1:1 by the underlying assets represented within the index and completely onchain. Similar to the Boglehead Community, a Do Nothing Club has emerged encouraging a long-term “lazy” crypto investing approach. Since the index represents approximately 95% of the value within crypto, AMKT is an excellent proxy for the entire cryptocurrency market – exactly what my Top Ten Portfolios have been trying to recreate from the start.

Here’s the question I’ll be tracking this year: would I have been better off with $1,000 of AMKT instead of going through the effort of creating a homemade $1,000 Top Ten Index Fund?

On 1 January 2024, $1000 was equal to 7.2 AMKT. Seven months into the Experiment, here’s the AMKT snapshot:

https://preview.redd.it/y664h9b2fmjd1.png?394&format=png&auto=webp&s=a546df7df80d244c01690a04571c1d99d5654699

July Performances:

  • The 2024 Top Ten Portfolio: -1%
  • AMKT: -2%.

The July monthly victory goes to: The 2024 Top Ten Crypto Experiment

Overall since January 1st, 2024:

  • The 2024 Top Ten Portfolio: +10%
  • AMKT: +31%

Overall lead: The Alongside Crypto Market Index Token (AMKT), with over triple the ROI of the Top Ten Portfolio.

For the more visual, here’s the table I’ll be using to track the friendly Top Ten vs. AMKT competition this year:

https://preview.redd.it/amts88b3fmjd1.png?814&format=png&auto=webp&s=8d2e96578c65b6ec6cfc50291b598f82495b6a0c

Combining the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 Top Ten Crypto Portfolios

So, where do we stand if we combine seven years of the Top Ten Crypto Index Fund Experiments?

Taking the seven portfolios together:

After a $7,000 total investment in the 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 Top Ten Cryptocurrencies, the combined portfolios are worth $21,637.

That’s up +209% on the combined portfolios. The peak for the combined Top Ten Index Fund Experiment Portfolios was November 2021’s all time high of +533%. Here’s the combined monthly ROI since I started tracking the metric in January 2020:

https://preview.redd.it/9ec71uv5fmjd1.png?1098&format=png&auto=webp&s=0523e8b58b85ee48dbe45a3503f20b1d1bbbebcb

In summary: That’s a +209% gain by investing $1k on whichever cryptos happened to be in the Top Ten on January 1st (including stablecoins) for seven straight years.

Comparison to S&P 500

I’m also tracking the S&P 500 as part of my Experiment to have a comparison point to traditional markets.

https://preview.redd.it/me55u1s8fmjd1.png?1076&format=png&auto=webp&s=c8b315d24836f27f95edbed6b5f0f673ea288561

The S&P 500 is up +14% so far in 2024, so the initial $1k investment into crypto on New Year’s Day would be worth $1,140 had it been redirected to the S&P. As of August 1st, the S&P would have been a better place for my initial $1k than my Top Ten Crypto investment.

Taking the same invest-$1,000-on-January-1st-of-each-year approach with the S&P 500 that I’ve been documenting through the Top Ten Crypto Experiments, the yields are the following:

  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2018 = $2,040 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2019 = $2,170 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2020 = $1,690 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2021 = $1,450 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2022 = $1,140 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2023 = $1,420 today
  • $1000 investment in S&P 500 on January 1st, 2024 = $1,140 today

Taken together, the results for a similar approach with the S&P:

After seven $1,000 investments into an S&P 500 index fund in January 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, and 2024 my portfolio would be worth $11,050.

That is up +58% since January 2018 compared to a +209% gain of the combined Top Ten Crypto Experiment Portfolios.

The visual below shows a comparison on ROI between a Top Ten Crypto approach and the S&P as per the rules of the Top Ten Experiments:

https://preview.redd.it/u8aac6r9fmjd1.png?1370&format=png&auto=webp&s=bcc5d2bd3343f482fa2b3c21f3064302b8c59f9e

Conclusion:

To the long time followers of the Top Ten Experiments, thank you for sticking around so long. For those just getting into crypto, I hope these reports will help prepare you for the highs and lows that await on your crypto adventures. Buckle up, go with the flow, think long term, and truly don’t invest what you can’t afford to lose. Most importantly, try to enjoy the ride.

A reporting note: I’ll focus on 2024 Top Ten Portfolio reports + one other portfolio on a rotating basis this year, so expect two reports from me per month. July’s extended report is on the 2019 Top Ten Portfolio, which you can access here. You can check out the latest 2018 Top Ten, 2020 Top Ten, 2021 Top Ten, 2022 Top Ten, and 2023 Top Ten reports as well.

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