 | I was curious about the whole “retire today so long as you have the previous epoch’s Block reward” mantra. The previous epoch’s block reward was 6.25 BTC. So, how would that look drawing a modest $60K per year for a single individual? (just for funzzies). Well, using ‘s BTC FIRE calculator the worst case scenario (Photo 1) you‘d eventually end up with a perpetual 1.5 BTC / $5M total capital minimum never really running below that level for life and at the recommend neutral power-law band scenario (Photo 2) you’d eventually end up with minimum 3.7 BTC / $18M total capital which, of course continues to increase in value. 6.25 BTC costs about the same as the average American home sale price right now. Also for reference, MicroStrategy’s bear case for 2045 is $3M, base case $13M, and bull case is $45M. Photo 1 says $4M and Photo 2 says $10M. So i’d say both of these hypothetical scenarios run between MicroStrategy’s bear and base case e.g. conservative. [link] [comments] |
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